do you think this would be happening? The world oil market will not be overly dislocated if Iran passes this. However, if the USG takes this to a physical conflict
Everything is guesswork. It's a cat and mouse game. Notice at the end of the article that Iran postponed their decision? Iran supplies about 2.5mill bbls/day and experts guess about 4mill/day current worldwide excess production capabilty. Oil prices would probably hit a new record high and we would possibly see something worse than what happened in 2008 if all of their oil supply was cut off.
The truth is none of the candidates want a war with the exception of maybe Gingrich, but even though I think he is an idiot I don't think he is that irrational? Hard to tell. It's all mostly chest thumping and not a bad thing in all to add to the show since we are slowly tightening the sanction noose and UN inspectors actually went in today.
Well I am not going to pester you guy(s) with any more Ron Paul stuff … but … this last one seems to show some of the leadership qualities we need.
I watch a lot of his stuff. He is very good at calling things how he sees it. The question is whether his solutions are good or not or even more so whether he could deliver on them. He won't have the congress to do much of anything in the first place?
I applaud anyone who votes for Paul. To me its a non establishment vote and that sends a message. It also could give him some political capital because he will be holding delegates. Not a bad thing if the primary ends up close enough to use it. Hypothetically (since he is such a longshot) if Paul won, Israel has plenty of sack,plenty of muscle, and plenty more reason to deal with the issue. We would at least want to make sure the Straits of Hormuz are kept navigable if Israel thought they needed to send a powerful message.