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The Metacritic Prediction Thread

The Metacritic Prediction Thread

It looks like Fallen Enchantress is ready for release. I don't know what differences there are between 0.99 and 1.0 yet but it's probably safe to pass judgment.

So.....

What do you think the Metacritic average of Fallen Enchantress will be by December 1, 2012? Put in your guesses.

Here are some recent game releases to compare to.....

Dishonored 91

XCOM 89

Borderlands 2 89

Torchlight II 89

Transformers: Fall of Cyberton 79

Prototype 2 76

The Sims Super Natural 71

Retro City Rampge 70

 

319,562 views 124 replies
Reply #101 Top

Quoting Chibiabos, reply 99

Quoting Mmrnmhrm, reply 97
Everyone who posted a number is based on what they think it will get and it is based on thier opinion. So trolling me will not affect that.

Yea, and you said 68. So when you give your "opinion" in the future we can reflect how mainstream it is.

And when you give "your" opinion in the future, I can reflect how you substitute mainstream/popularity for merit/value.

If this thread was called "what would you rate this game?" then you might have a point.

But this thread is about predicting what the average professional review score will be, i.e. metacritic. 

 

Reply #102 Top

Quoting Lord, reply 100
For some reason I can't get to metacritic?  Is it down or something wonky on my end?

The site is completely bugged.

I made a login for it, and whenever my login is cached, the site gives me an error.

 

Reply #103 Top

User reviews are total crap.  This game sucks because it's steam only!!  This game is crap because it's a sequel and doesn't have this minor part of the game or changed from 3rd person to first person!  Player reviews are total shit.

Reply #104 Top

Quoting Lord, reply 103
User reviews are total crap.  This game sucks because it's steam only!!  This game is crap because it's a sequel and doesn't have this minor part of the game or changed from 3rd person to first person!  Player reviews are total shit.

 

That's just plain ignorant.

Reply #105 Top

Quoting Mmrnmhrm, reply 101

Quoting Chibiabos, reply 99
Quoting Mmrnmhrm, reply 97
Everyone who posted a number is based on what they think it will get and it is based on thier opinion. So trolling me will not affect that.

Yea, and you said 68. So when you give your "opinion" in the future we can reflect how mainstream it is.

And when you give "your" opinion in the future, I can reflect how you substitute mainstream/popularity for merit/value.

If this thread was called "what would you rate this game?" then you might have a point.

But this thread is about predicting what the average professional review score will be, i.e. metacritic. 

 

The fact that it is not a 'what would you rate this game?' thread is, actually, exactly my point -- professional reviewers aren't "mainstream" fans.  Die-hard fans are befuddled Diablo III is being lambasted for its atrocious copying of Assassin's Creed's rightfully blasted 'single player games should require constant connection to our servers, and we aren't responsible for maintaining our servers even though our servers failing makes their paid-for products completely unusable due to the constant connection requirement we forced on everyone' with low reviews and FE isn't getting 10/10s everywhere.  Most replies in threads to postings of 70/100-ish reviews of FE posted thus far have been in shock and horror and disbelieving anyone could rate FE 'so low.'  

Reply #106 Top

Quoting zonk_1000, reply 105

Quoting Lord Xia, reply 103User reviews are total crap.  This game sucks because it's steam only!!  This game is crap because it's a sequel and doesn't have this minor part of the game or changed from 3rd person to first person!  Player reviews are total shit.

 

That's just plain ignorant.

 

I call em as I see em.  And I have seen a lot to not value player reviews at all.  

Reply #107 Top

Quoting Lord, reply 107



Quoting zonk_1000,
reply 105

Quoting Lord Xia, reply 103User reviews are total crap.  This game sucks because it's steam only!!  This game is crap because it's a sequel and doesn't have this minor part of the game or changed from 3rd person to first person!  Player reviews are total shit.

 

That's just plain ignorant.


 

I call em as I see em.  And I have seen a lot to not value player reviews at all.  

So you have read them all and disagree with every single one of them?  And I suppose you think the "Professional" Reviews are of more value? 

Sorry but that makes no logical sense.  But then I call them as I see them and reviews have been valuable to me in gauging if I'd get the game or not.  Only thing better than user reviews is acully playing the game itself (Beta, etc.)  I have bought games in the past based on negative feed back too. Because what people are saying as negative was a feature I liked. 

For example:  There are a few people who are glad that there are no ships in FE.  So if I would to read user reviews from them and they were praising the DEVS for not having ships in the game, giving the game 9.0 . Well I would see this as a big negative  so then I would look at other reviews and see if there were positives that would counter this. I'd also have researched the game on the Games website as well.  Then go back to the User Reviews to see what people thought about each feature.

Reply #108 Top

Quoting Chibiabos, reply 106


The fact that it is not a 'what would you rate this game?' thread is, actually, exactly my point -- professional reviewers aren't "mainstream" fans.  Die-hard fans are befuddled Diablo III is being lambasted for its atrocious copying of Assassin's Creed's rightfully blasted 'single player games should require constant connection to our servers, and we aren't responsible for maintaining our servers even though our servers failing makes their paid-for products completely unusable due to the constant connection requirement we forced on everyone' with low reviews and FE isn't getting 10/10s everywhere.  Most replies in threads to postings of 70/100-ish reviews of FE posted thus far have been in shock and horror and disbelieving anyone could rate FE 'so low.'  

The lowest professional review this game has gotten is a 3.5 star out of 5. That's one review. Every other pro review has been >=80. It's a pity that only 3 metacritic pro reviews have been made so far. Two are >=80, one is 3.5 out of 5 = 70.

If you want to start your own thread where random anonymous Internet people's opinions can be summed up, then have at it.

I think it's totally legitimate to call someone out who predicted a metacritic average of 68 as being someone whose point of view is out of the mainstream.  I don't think the pro reviewers are mainstream. Rather, I think that a person who thinks that the pro reviewers would give this game a 68 is out of the mainstream.

Reply #109 Top

Quoting Bellack, reply 108

Quoting Lord Xia, reply 107


Quoting zonk_1000,
reply 105

Quoting Lord Xia, reply 103User reviews are total crap.  This game sucks because it's steam only!!  This game is crap because it's a sequel and doesn't have this minor part of the game or changed from 3rd person to first person!  Player reviews are total shit.

 

That's just plain ignorant.


 

I call em as I see em.  And I have seen a lot to not value player reviews at all.  


So you have read them all and disagree with every single one of them?  And I suppose you think the "Professional" Reviews are of more value? 

Sorry but that makes no logical sense. 

Sure it does. A professional reviewer is a verified person without any known axe to grind. He or she is accountable. An anonymous Internet user has no accountability. It could be the PR people of the company giving it a 10 or some disgruntled customer giving it a 0.

Reply #110 Top

As for the OP, I was hoping for a low 80 and planning for a mid to high 70. Kinda late to the party but oh wells!

@user reviews: I'm going to have to backup Xia partly here. You have to actively filter through user reviews to find useful ones. It isn't as hard in a niche genre like TBS to figure out which reviews come from people who know what they are talking about, but with huge titles like Diablo 3, it's a lot more difficult...TONS of people rated that game based on the always online requirement alone and I'm sure some of those people never even played the game. Dragon Age 2 is another classic example. "Too different from the first game. 0/10". That tells me the game is completely worthless, which is not possible for a Bioware game.

This kind of goes both ways with critic reviews too though. (ie. The infamous PC Gamer 94% for Dragon Age 2 that's plastered on the ads). You can't help but wonder a little at that score, whether you want to be a conspiracy theory person or not. Often reviewers just aren't very good writers and can set a tone in the article that makes ZERO sense with the review score. You generally get to know critics that line up with things you like and just trust in them a little.  

I think if you read enough reviews from different sources you will piece together some general likes/dislikes than can help you make a purchase. That said, there's a lot of useless crap along with it. That's kinda the Internet I guess.

 

Reply #111 Top

User reviwes are useful, if the author presents the pros and cons for him, no matter if positive or negative. Such a review tells me if the game may be for me or not, a simple number does not.

After what some "professional" reviewers have written over the years, the percentages they give are highly suspect to me, too. I need a detailed review to decide if I like a game or not. Many reviews in magazines don't mention things I am interested in, too - like if I can save at any time, does it require a permanent online connection, is a DRM in place which can damage my system, at what resolution can it be played, do turns in TBS games take seconds, minutes or hours to complete, and so on.

The thing is, one needs to spend the time to make a survey on the net to get an informed opinion how a game does.

Reply #112 Top

I find user reviews useful. I find user scores worthless.

Reply #113 Top

There are good reviews and bad reviews. There are professional reviews and there are user reviews. These two variables are not related to each other.

The metacritic score (based on professional reviewers) will affect a consumers choice much more than the user score.

Reply #114 Top

A professional reviewer is someone who gives every EA/Activision/Ubisoft title a 8.5 minimum. *_*

Reply #115 Top

Quoting Mmrnmhrm, reply 109
I think it's totally legitimate to call someone out who predicted a metacritic average of 68 as being someone whose point of view is out of the mainstream.  I don't think the pro reviewers are mainstream. Rather, I think that a person who thinks that the pro reviewers would give this game a 68 is out of the mainstream.

Do you think the same of those who predicted a 90+ metacritic?

Because if FE ends up about 79, which seems extremely likely to me, then those 90+ guys are just as far, or further, out of mainstream as the guy who thought it would get 68.

And if FE gets 77, which is feasible, then your 87 estimate will be more off the mark than the 68 guy. So lets just accept people have different opinions.

Reply #116 Top

Quoting Mistwraithe, reply 116

Quoting Mmrnmhrm, reply 109I think it's totally legitimate to call someone out who predicted a metacritic average of 68 as being someone whose point of view is out of the mainstream.  I don't think the pro reviewers are mainstream. Rather, I think that a person who thinks that the pro reviewers would give this game a 68 is out of the mainstream.

Do you think the same of those who predicted a 90+ metacritic?

Because if FE ends up about 79, which seems extremely likely to me, then those 90+ guys are just as far, or further, out of mainstream as the guy who thought it would get 68.

And if FE gets 77, which is feasible, then your 87 estimate will be more off the mark than the 68 guy. So lets just accept people have different opinions.

I predicted 81. Not 87. I think it deserves an 87.

You can have whatever opinion you want. But ones Metacritic prediction is a testable evaluation.

Reply #117 Top

Quoting Mmrnmhrm, reply 109

I think it's totally legitimate to call someone out who predicted a metacritic average of 68 as being someone whose point of view is out of the mainstream.  I don't think the pro reviewers are mainstream. Rather, I think that a person who thinks that the pro reviewers would give this game a 68 is out of the mainstream.

And, again, I find mainstream thoughts are worthless.  Popularity != right

Reply #118 Top

User reviews might not have the same value as professional reviews in a lot of cases but they are not totally worthless either.

Reply #119 Top

At the end of the day, all I can say is that users' reviews spared me some mighty disappointments, while critics' reviews would have had me jump straight into them.

Please continue.  v_v

Reply #120 Top

There is only one reviewer that I can trust.  That I know has not taken a back hander, or is biased against the genre.

And that is......................ME!!  :D

 

Reply #121 Top

Quoting LNQ, reply 32
I think 75-79. Mainly due to lack of polish, otherwise 80-89.

http://www.metacritic.com/game/pc/elemental-fallen-enchantress

Hey, someone had to do it.

EDIT:
The OP states December 1st as the date, so the jury's not out yet, but at least there's finally an official score.

Reply #122 Top

Tip for people reading user scores on Metacritics.

1) Ignore all 0 votes

2) Ignore all 10 votes.

Everything in between should be accurate.

Reply #123 Top

Quoting giskarduk, reply 123
Tip for people reading user scores on Metacritics.

1) Ignore all 0 votes

2) Ignore all 10 votes.

Everything in between should be accurate.

 

A second tip for people looking at metacritic scores:

 

The 'pro' reviewers are tracked to see if they are over or under the 'final' score.  So you can see how far off they usually are from the average and weight their opinion based upon that.  Ie, a reviewer that's 10+ points above/below, on average of their reviews vs. the scores, isn't worth listening to at all.  Same with their 'averaged' score that they give.  If it's above 75, then they haven't been reviewing enough games (or stick to just AAA games that everyone likes - which also means that they aren't worth listening to).

Reply #124 Top

Two days to go and we're at 76! Time to put the bubbly on ice.