Predictions??? » Forum Post by WilliamJenningsBryan

I do not think it will be that close. (Famous last words). Right now, I expect A significant Romney win (no landslide on the popular side, but a large majority on the EC side).

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Quoting Dr Guy,

reply 1

I do not think it will be that close. (Famous last words). Right now, I expect A significant Romney win (no landslide on the popular side, but a large majority on the EC side).

Dream on, it took 4 years for the Democrats to get out from underneath the damage caused by 8 years of Bush...

The inertia has finally been reversed, and the only straws the Republicans can grasp at are "did not perform well enough".

Democrats win majority...

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Anthony R

Join Date 01/2003

+59

Americans who are immersed in Dancing with the stars and keeping up with the Kardashians are not only stupid enough to elect Obama once, they will unfortunately elect him again. However, the House will remain Republican for the next 20 years and the Senate will go Republican as well. The Union goons will carry a battered and bruised Obama over the finish line and Obamacare will be saved. The next 4 years will feature Obama vetoing everything sent to him by Congress. Can Romney still pull out an upset win? I sure hope so.

+1

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I hate to say it, but Romney will most likely lose if he doesn't get Ohio. I do believe that Congress this year will be majority Republican, in both houses. Congress to me is more important. we can repeal Obamacare if we have all of it. Im still pulling hard for Mr.Romney, and best of luck to him in the last stretch

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Romney wins. Don't believe MSM polls & commentary that it's over. They're all wishful (willful) thinking.

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Nothing much changes.

Obama gets his second term. He'll lose Indiana, Nebraska #1, and North Carolina from 2008. I think after these three, Romney has a real shot at picking off Iowa, and one of Florida or Ohio, but not both. New Hampshire and Nevada are possible pick-ups, but at best, one of them break for him, but probably not both. He also won't get Virginia. Paul Ryan isn't helping him with Wisconsin. The three red states from 2008 that Obama got close in - Montana, Missouri, and Georgia - stay red.

Final totals.

Obama - 293. Maine (All), Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland, District of Columbia, Virginia, Ohio, Michigan, Illinois, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii.

Romney - 245. New Hampshire, West Virginia, North Carolina South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee, Kentucky, Indiana, Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska (All), South Dakota, North Dakota, Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Utah, Arizona, Alaska.

I feel the least good about Florida, Iowa, and New Hampshire in Romney's column, and Nevada, Ohio, and Colorado in Obama's column. These are the six that it comes down to in November.

The Senate stays in Democrat hands, but gets tighter. I'm thinking GOP gains in MT, ND, and NE. Democrats pick-up in ME and MA. Baldwin is pulling away in WI, and I think she might keep in blue, but I'm not 100% on this one. Mack could still catch Nelson in Florida. The Independent could pick up Maine. Even if Thompson and Mack win, and King from Maine wins (likely caucuses with Democrats), the best the GOP can get here is a 50/50 split. And Biden is the tie-breaker, meaning it's still a Democrat Senate.

House stays Republican. Just looking at Realclearpolitics.com, even if the Democrats had a clean sweep of the "toss up" races, and Republicans only win the "Safe GOP," "Likely GOP," and "Leaning GOP" races, the GOP still has 229 seats, and 218 is majority. I doubt Democrats pull off a clean sweep. Just not likely.

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Quoting LORD-ORION,

reply 2

Dream on, it took 4 years for the Democrats to get out from underneath the damage caused by 8 years of Bush...

The inertia has finally been reversed, and the only straws the Republicans can grasp at are "did not perform well enough".

Democrats win majority...

You can try to discuss this rationally and logically, or merely recite talking points as you are wont to do. The choice is yours.

Nothing you stated is factual. for 6 years, the Bush administration had a very good economy (Unemployment below 5%, solid growth, low inflation). That changed in 2007 with the election of democrat majorities in the house and senate (Pelosi and Reid). Growth stagnated, and the housing bust, forewarned several times by Bush, happened. You can blame Bush if you like, which is the rote response requiring nothing more than mindless recitation. However, the cause was the CRA and the resulting forced lending of financial institutions to risky lenders.

The causes and solutions cannot be dealt with in a minutes time, and does require an in depth, intelligent discussion. However, talking points are not intelligent nor a discussion, and serve no purpose other than to find a scape goat and an election sound bite.

My statement stands. I prefaced it by saying "think". Which indicates an opinion. Not a fact. You claim to have factual information, but in reality, all your post contains is more mindless talking points. You are entitled to your opinion, and welcome to it. But opinions are not debatable. Facts are.

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Quoting Dr Guy,

reply 7

Quoting LORD-ORION, reply 2Dream on, it took 4 years for the Democrats to get out from underneath the damage caused by 8 years of Bush...

The inertia has finally been reversed, and the only straws the Republicans can grasp at are "did not perform well enough".

Democrats win majority...

You can try to discuss this rationally and logically, or merely recite talking points as you are wont to do. The choice is yours.

Nothing you stated is factual. for 6 years, the Bush administration had a very good economy (Unemployment below 5%, solid growth, low inflation). That changed in 2007 with the election of democrat majorities in the house and senate (Pelosi and Reid). Growth stagnated, and the housing bust, forewarned several times by Bush, happened. You can blame Bush if you like, which is the rote response requiring nothing more than mindless recitation. However, the cause was the CRA and the resulting forced lending of financial institutions to risky lenders.

The causes and solutions cannot be dealt with in a minutes time, and does require an in depth, intelligent discussion. However, talking points are not intelligent nor a discussion, and serve no purpose other than to find a scape goat and an election sound bite.

My statement stands. I prefaced it by saying "think". Which indicates an opinion. Not a fact. You claim to have factual information, but in reality, all your post contains is more mindless talking points. You are entitled to your opinion, and welcome to it. But opinions are not debatable. Facts are.

*pout*

The Laffer curve is completely debatable, and 8 years of it under the non-dissipating expert team(Bush) ran the country into the ground. Even if the people are un-aware of the specifics of the vodoo economics the neo-cons have faith in, they most definitely feel its affects and don't want another piece of that.

Also, you actually have the balls to say Bush tried to warn people about the collapse when he is the one who raided funds, and instead of dissipating the outstanding currency, recirculated it? That never ends well, and even Greenspan was pissed about that.

The US had it's chance to be VERY well off, and Bush/Cheney ruined it.

Next chance for greatness coming in 8 years from today... and hopefully the neo-cons will abandon the Laffer Curve stupidity once and for all.

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No chance for 'greatness coming' in any number of years, not in my lifetime. America was a great idea & had a good two and a half century run. The next few decades are going to be ugly. Demography being destiny, we will first become Mexico, then follow Greece, though there's at least a chance we go Greek first, and soon. The only (selfish) silver lining is I probably won't be here to witness what befalls my grandchildren's generation. At least I lived to see its greatest years and I'll either die or be 'put on the pathway' before the final fall. So, there's that.

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