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Political Machine/JoeUser Presidential Prediction Poll

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
+11
Reply #26 October 3, 2008 3:15:08 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Everyone is a comedian! Annual percentage. That is what you get when you start printing money, and that is only if Obama reigns in expectations. if he gives up all he has promised, Carter will start looking good.

Hehe. I personnally only expect a 4-5% inflation rate (annually) for the next 2 years. Which is still very good.

If it goes up even more, it's not gonna be because of the 700 billion bail-out, but because of various commodity's rising price.

and oil. Never forget the oil.

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
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Reply #27 October 3, 2008 3:16:47 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Everyone is a comedian! Annual percentage. That is what you get when you start printing money, and that is only if Obama reigns in expectations. if he gives up all he has promised, Carter will start looking good.

Hehe. I personnally only expect a 4-5% inflation rate (annually) for the next 2 years. Which is still very high. the rate will be under control after that.

If it goes up even more, it's not gonna be because of the 700 billion bail-out, but because of various commodity's rising price.

and oil. Never forget the oil.

Better hope Palin screws up. It will be hard for Biden to not screw up since he cant plagarize on stage.

Good news, it didn't happened for anybody! So, I stand by my earlier prediction!

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Island Dog
Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
+129
Reply #28 October 3, 2008 7:24:59 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Good news, it didn't happened for anybody! So, I stand by my earlier prediction!

And Cikomyr wins with a Definite, Possible MAYBE.

There ya go!  You got your headline.

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
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Reply #29 October 3, 2008 7:35:52 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

There ya go! You got your headline.

I am 100% sure that Obama will probably win! Stop the press!

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Island Dog
Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
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Reply #30 October 3, 2008 11:37:43 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

I am 100% sure that Obama will probably win! Stop the press!

no, no no!

 

How about - I am 100% sure that Obama (or McCain) will finish in the top 2!

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
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Reply #31 October 5, 2008 1:42:00 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Even better!

I bet you 5000$ that neither Palin nor Biden will be elected president!

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Island Dog
Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
+129
Reply #32 October 7, 2008 11:30:23 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

I bet you 5000$ that neither Palin nor Biden will be elected president!

I'll take that bet!

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
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Reply #33 October 8, 2008 2:30:42 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

I'll take that bet!

Serious?

Will be ELECTED president? I didn't said "will become", or anything like that...

And this is the prediction for the 08 Election, mind you...

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Island Dog
Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
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Reply #34 October 8, 2008 6:27:27 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Serious?

I thought the laugh would convey the meaning of "Uncle!  You win" on the absurd front.

Besides, with the markets the way they are, I will bet you my stock in AIG and Lehman Brothers.  NOW do you still want the bet?

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
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Reply #35 October 12, 2008 4:34:04 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Besides, with the markets the way they are, I will bet you my stock in AIG and Lehman Brothers. NOW do you still want the bet?

AIG? Yes!!!!!! Yesyesyesyesyesyesyesyes!!!!

LB is effectively dead, but AIG isn't. Seriously, hold to these shares. It's a sound financial institution, that happened to got hit hard by the stupidity of general Wall Street. Right now, people are quite negative about it, but I am quite sure that in the long term (5+ years) it'll go back up. I'd label it as a "buy" right now. The company is saved, and is in no chance of bankruptcy anytime soon.

As opposed to many other companies right now...

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Island Dog
Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
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Reply #36 October 13, 2008 12:54:36 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

As opposed to many other companies right now...

Actually the smart money is buying - bargains.  The failure of a few biggies caused a panic.  But Buffet is buying, and so am I.  I dont know if it will go lower, but I know it will go higher - in time.

Ok, I take back my offer of AIG.

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
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Reply #37 October 14, 2008 3:32:52 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Actually the smart money is buying - bargains. The failure of a few biggies caused a panic. But Buffet is buying, and so am I. I dont know if it will go lower, but I know it will go higher - in time.

The problem is, except if you buy an index-driven fund, you might end up buying the wrong share, and loose your investment if the firm goes kaput - which is still a probability, in our current situation.

edit: Oh, and I stand by my Obama by 54%, McCain with 43%

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Island Dog
Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
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Reply #38 October 14, 2008 7:23:46 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

The problem is, except if you buy an index-driven fund, you might end up buying the wrong share, and loose your investment if the firm goes kaput - which is still a probability, in our current situation.

edit: Oh, and I stand by my Obama by 54%, McCain with 43%

I think it will be closer, but Obama still wins.

And as for my buying, I am leaving that to professionals.  I am smart enough to know that I know not. (I have a fund manager).

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
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Reply #39 October 14, 2008 8:06:25 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

And as for my buying, I am leaving that to professionals. I am smart enough to know that I know not. (I have a fund manager).

Clever man.

My boss (who IS a professionnal fund manager) leave most of his assets in an index-linked fund. He is of those who think you cannot beat the market...

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Island Dog
Dr Guy
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Reply #40 October 14, 2008 9:25:17 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

(who IS a professionnal fund manager)

Bet he was jumping for joy yesterday!

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
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Reply #41 October 14, 2008 9:31:33 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Bet he was jumping for joy yesterday!

Yhea, but not for the reason you'd think. Institutional funds aren't interested in return when they check up their manager, they are interested in added value of that manager. And our recent numbers (who he happened to get yesterday) were very, very good.

Yhea, we still lost 20% this month, but so what? The market lost 22%!!!

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Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
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Reply #42 October 14, 2008 3:39:28 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Yhea, we still lost 20% this month, but so what? The market lost 22%!!!

Right now that makes him in demand as a GREAT manager!

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
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Reply #43 October 15, 2008 1:50:50 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Right now that makes him in demand as a GREAT manager!

My job is to make sure he is. That's how you make business

But sadly, I think our products are a little too much ahead of their time for the mainstream institutional investors...

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Island Dog
adnauseam
Join Date 05/2004
+4
Reply #44 October 23, 2008 3:14:04 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Obama will win 62%.

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Island Dog
Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
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Reply #45 October 24, 2008 6:21:35 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Obama will win 62%.

Not even in a wet dream.

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
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Reply #46 October 26, 2008 8:59:14 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Not even in a wet dream.

Meh. How about a filibuster-proof majority in Congress?

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Island Dog
Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
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Reply #47 October 26, 2008 9:09:29 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Meh. How about a filibuster-proof majority in Congress?

A good dream, but not a given.  And I will go with that before seeing Obama in a Johnsonesque landslide.

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
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Reply #48 October 27, 2008 7:37:44 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

A good dream, but not a given. And I will go with that before seeing Obama in a Johnsonesque landslide.

You know, with a good 52-53%, it still could be a landslide when it comes to Electoral votes...

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Island Dog
Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
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Reply #49 October 27, 2008 7:48:01 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

You know, with a good 52-53%, it still could be a landslide when it comes to Electoral votes...

Probably about what Clinton won by in 96.  300+ to 100+ 

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
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Reply #50 October 27, 2008 8:54:27 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Probably about what Clinton won by in 96. 300+ to 100+

Yup. Still a landslide, right?

 

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