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Island Dog
Join Date 06/2003
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Political Machine/JoeUser Presidential Prediction Poll

Give Your Percentages

September 15, 2008 6:41:28 PM from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

We did our informal polls throughout the nomination process, but now that we have the candidates down, lets move on to some election predictions.  Everyone give your prediction on who will win, and the rough percentage of the vote they will get.

For me....

McCain/Palin will win with 54% majority.

election
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Island Dog
OckhamsRazor
Join Date 09/2003
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Reply #1 September 15, 2008 7:02:38 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

I'll see your 54 and raise you.  McCain/Palin at 65%

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taltamir
Join Date 01/2006
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Reply #2 September 15, 2008 7:36:39 PM
from Stardock ForumsStardock Forums

Honestly, I can't beleive how the democrats took a surefire win and managed to shoot themselves in the foot again, and again, and again. and then set their foot on fire for good measure.

I bet McCain will win.

I want NEITHER mccain nor obama, but someone else... but you aren't asking who I WANT to win. You are asking who I think will win. So... McCain it is.

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MasonM
Join Date 01/2004
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Reply #3 September 15, 2008 7:38:51 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

I predict a Democrat or a Republican will win and America will lose.

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erathoniel
Join Date 04/2008
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Reply #4 September 15, 2008 9:11:22 PM
from Stardock ForumsStardock Forums

McCain, 48%

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Island Dog
ParaTed2k
Join Date 12/2004
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Reply #5 September 15, 2008 9:24:01 PM
from Stardock ForumsStardock Forums

I'd rather be saying McCain/Palin... or even Bob Barr (LP), but I'm already on record with my prediction, but I'm already on record with Obama/Biden winning by only 6 EC Votes.

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taltamir
Join Date 01/2006
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Reply #6 September 15, 2008 10:13:39 PM
from Stardock ForumsStardock Forums

Quoting MasonM,
comment 3


I predict a Democrat or a Republican will win and America will lose.

EPIC QUOTE!

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Island Dog
Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
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Reply #7 September 16, 2008 6:59:38 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Honestly, I can't beleive how the democrats took a surefire win and managed to shoot themselves in the foot again, and again, and again. and then set their foot on fire for good measure.

They took shooting lessons from the "Gang who could not shoot straight".

As for a prediction - Today: McCain 52/47 over Obama.  If Someone with intelligence can talk to Obama, that will change.

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Island Dog
CharlesCS
Join Date 08/2006
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Reply #8 September 16, 2008 8:26:57 AM
from Stardock ForumsStardock Forums

They took shooting lessons from the "Gang who could not shoot straight".

This wouldn't have happened had they been hanging around with Cheney instead.

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CharlesCS
Join Date 08/2006
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Reply #9 September 16, 2008 8:27:21 AM
from Stardock ForumsStardock Forums

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Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
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Reply #10 September 16, 2008 8:38:42 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

This wouldn't have happened had they been hanging around with Cheney instead.

Damn!  I missed a great one!

Well done Charles.

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Island Dog
Genghis Hank
Join Date 02/2004
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Reply #11 September 16, 2008 12:08:04 PM
from Stardock ForumsStardock Forums

I don't think that the Palin bounce will hold through the debates.  It's going to be close and it's going to come down to the debates.  Based on where things are heading today and assuming that neither canidate implodes in the debates, Obama wins the popular vote 49/48.  McCain wins the EC by taking Ohio and Virginia, Obama wins Colorado, PA, and MI.  Margin is apporx. 12 EC votes, less if Obama takes Nevada.

Edit:  I think I miscounted and McCain needs MI as well to win.  In which case, it's going to be Obama.

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Adventure-Dude
Join Date 07/2004
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Reply #12 September 16, 2008 2:48:55 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Government 99.9%

 

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Island Dog
Adventure-Dude
Join Date 07/2004
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Reply #13 September 16, 2008 2:50:06 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

On a more serious note: McCain/Palin win 50/40 with 10% going to others.

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Island Dog
BONEHEADdb
Join Date 10/2004
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Reply #14 September 16, 2008 4:13:59 PM
from Stardock ForumsStardock Forums

McCain/Palin 57%

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CharlesCS
Join Date 08/2006
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Reply #15 September 16, 2008 4:17:07 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Well done Charles.

JU is a great educational instituation.

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Frogboy
Join Date 03/2001
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Reply #16 September 16, 2008 7:49:04 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

He that wins Colorado wins the election.

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Zoologist03
Join Date 04/2004
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Reply #17 September 16, 2008 9:07:00 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Nobody "wins" 100%

We'll just be stuck in a perpetual cycle of political bullshit.

~Zoo

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Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
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Reply #18 September 17, 2008 7:20:31 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

He that wins Colorado wins the election.

Now this kind of prediction I like!  Good starting point for a debate.

I will have to think on this one.  Somehow, I dont think the democrats are going to agree with you.  Colorado - like Virginia - is said to be in play.  But what either indicates is that if the democrats win them, it will not be a close election.  If the republicans win them, it aint over yet.

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taltamir
Join Date 01/2006
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Reply #19 September 24, 2008 9:06:16 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

now what i want to know frogboy... did you use the political machine game to come to this prediction

cause that would be very very cool... even cooler if it turns out right.

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Island Dog
mvaunhalen
Join Date 09/2008
0
Reply #20 September 28, 2008 3:09:14 AM
from PoliticalMachine ForumsPoliticalMachine Forums

I hate to say this, but at this point I predict an Obama victory by 2%.  Prove me wrong America.  Vote McCain/Palin!

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Iceciro
Join Date 03/2007
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Reply #21 October 1, 2008 3:17:09 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

I bet it'll be Obama by the majority vote, but the electoral one I'm not too sure on.  We could end up with another "he that wins the electoral college is more important than he that wins the total votes" It really depends on where the votes fall.

As a sidenote/sidetrack, electoral college = fail.  The idea that my "vote" could still end up going to the wrong guy drives me up a wall every four years.

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Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
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Reply #22 October 2, 2008 1:30:20 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Hmm... I know it's cheating, but I'd rather wait after the VP debate before saying anything. But for the moment, I think Obama will win with something about... oh.. 53%, McCain 44%

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Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
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Reply #23 October 2, 2008 7:34:37 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Hmm... I know it's cheating, but I'd rather wait after the VP debate before saying anything. But for the moment, I think Obama will win with something about... oh.. 53%, McCain 44%

No, I think the VP is going to be a very small factor (as usual). But with the latest hysteria, I tend to agree with yoru current predictions.

I have a post facto prediction.  Inflation goes up to 7-8% over the next 4 years.

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Island Dog
Cikomyr
Join Date 06/2005
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Reply #24 October 2, 2008 7:47:48 AM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

I have a post facto prediction. Inflation goes up to 7-8% over the next 4 years.

Wait, is that the annual rate, or is it 7-8% in the next 4 years?

Because, if it's the latter, we're in deep trouble, since it's below the U.S.'s target inflation rate, and it's symptomatic of economic slowdown - but that will probably mean that the dollars gained value.. hmmm...

Well, if Palin acts in the debate like she acted in the recent interview she gave, and Biden don't act too stupidly, it might make a difference...

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Dr Guy
Join Date 09/2004
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Reply #25 October 2, 2008 4:31:55 PM
from JoeUser ForumsJoeUser Forums

Wait, is that the annual rate, or is it 7-8% in the next 4 years?

Everyone is a comedian!  Annual percentage.  That is what you get when you start printing money, and that is only if Obama reigns in expectations.  if he gives up all he has promised, Carter will start looking good.

Biden don't act too stupidly, it might make a difference...

Better hope Palin screws up. It will be hard for Biden to not screw up since he cant plagarize on stage.

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