how does bush expect to win ?

He is losing:
Black vote: BIG TIME
hispanic vote
hip hop vote : BIG TIME
Rock/punk vote
probably the women vote
gays: obviously
Science vote: obviously
etc...




He is basically depending on the white vote, Which is not a big margin, the religious vote, and of course the supreme court vote.lol

The bush administration is gonna come up with something in the last month to steal votes and then do nothing if elected for people he promised. He only cares about being elected. Watch near the end of october they will find Osama bin Laden, like they did with saddam once Dean said they havent found him yet cause dean was who people thought would be the nominee. Just watch them try to do something to get back in the white house near the end of this.



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Let us see...how does Bush expect to win...hmmm....

Really it boils down to how many registered voters actually come out and vote. Because Bush is the incumbent, he should be able to rely on about the same number of people to come back out and support him. It is Kerry's charge that he overcome those numbers. Whether or not he will be able to do so is what makes this election hard to call. So far, the Bush admin. has been able to slow Kerry's momentum (and I'm not getting in to that here since I have nearly everywhere else) and they will have a final push in solidifying their base and mobilizing Republicans with the National Convention, how things go after that will provide a pretty clear picture of the division lines in America. Nader is a non-issue with failing to get on the ballot in many states, so Kerry won't have to worry about him, particularly in the battleground states like Missouri. So far Kerry is ahead (by most pole's gauge) in swing states such as Penn. and MO, with Ohio being one or the other's nearly every other minute. Use those as some indicators and you've got a good idea of what's up. Basically, if the Democrats get out and vote, they've got it, if Bush has something blow up in his face, the Dem.'s have it. If the Republicans are able to cow the Dem.'s or pull another SwiftVet (dang! I just couldn't go without saying something, damn!), the incumbent will stand.