Is that the common theme? Created personalities can't win?
I suspect that's it. I also am having this same issue come up with a created personality.
I appreciate the explanations people are trying to provide to Dearmad (and, thus, indirectly to myself, the founder of the Carter creams me thread), but they aren't right.
The AI doesn't use political operatives at normal difficulty or in the second campaign mode much, if at all. It isn't smear doctors and consultants that are causing this. Its something deeper in the game system, effecting created personalities.
I think this is a bug/mechanics problem that should be investigated. It can't be explained away by interviews, operatives or 0 in personal traits. I sent a save game in. I can send others from that campaign, day by day if necessary, to show the disintegration of my candidate when facing Carter.