Canadian Election

from JoeUser Forums
In the up coming Canadian Election the 4 major parties (Bloc Quebecois, Conservative, Liberal, and NDP) are going to put on a good fight to earn the Canadians vote. But honestly who will win, who can you choose? If your a seperatist, or an anti-liberal Quebecer, then of course the Bloc has you vote. The challenge comes down to the next Three parties. The Conservative Party, the new Party that is looking good in the election, but not to good. They are the centre-right party that was formed to put an end to the Liberals, and create a strong party that can win the election, they'll probably form the opposition, otherwise a small minority government, but chances are slim. The Liberals, all looked good for the centre-left party until Paul Martin became Prime Minister and the Sponsership scandle came up. The Liberals can only look to Ontario, where 1/3 of the vote comes from, the rest has to be in Quebec, but the Bloc Quebecios seem to be gaining alot of support there, so its not looking good. They have to get at least 155 seats to form a Majority government, recently ive heard around 135 for them, and the Conservative growth isnt helping the Liberals. The NDP, never thought they were going anywhere until Jack Layton became leader, the Socialist party of the Left is looking to steal some seats in Manitoba and Ontario from the Liberals, but not to many. The NDP could get anywhere between 15-35 seats depending on how many scandles the Liberals get into The only other party that could take some votes is the Green Party, they are a Left wing party, with some Conservative views as far as Fiscal accountability goes. The more popular the greens get (4-6%) the more the NDP gets weaker. Ive heard so many predictions for the election, the most likely and realistic is the following:
Liberals: 120's-140'sseats
Conservatives: 90s-110's seats
Bloc Quebecois: 30's-50's
NDP: 10's-30's
Green/Independent/Other Party: 1

for a total of 308 seats

Subject to change at any time
I based this from 4 sources including...
-Public Forums
-Polls
-Media
-Websites

This was the average and what i felt was most resonable
international
2,489 views 4 replies
Reply #1 from Stardock Forums Top
Well tomorrow's the big day, let's see how accurate your early predictions were! Personally, I don't see the Liberals doing as well as you suggest.
Reply #2 from JoeUser Forums Top

My guess:
Bloc Quebequois: 57
NDP 19
Conservative 114
Liberal 117
Green/Ind 1

What happens next is anyone's guess. The Liberals, as governing party, get first crack at being asked to form a government, even in a minority position. The key equation is 117 + 19 does not equal a majority, so that rules out a Lib - NDP coalition that could function as a majority. The Bloc hold the balance of power, I can't see them making a formal deal with anyone but they are pretty left wing so that would favour the Liberals.

If the Conservatives win more seats, the Liberals still get first crack. TheLiberals may decline to form a government if asked by the Governor General if they sense they will be defeated in the fall throne speech. If the Conservatives can forge a coalition that gives them 155+ seats then they can.

Myself, I'm voting Conservative. I think it's time to boot the Liberals from power. I support lower income taxes, lower corporate taxes, less bilingualism, less power for the Supreme Court, more power for parliament, a big increase in military spending, less immigration, more free votes, a modest increase in health care, justice reform, more auditors, less corporate welfare, and an end to the federal government spending like mad. Harper has run a surprisingly solid campaign and I think would make a good PM.
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Reply #3 from PolMach Forums Top
The Conservative Party, the new Party that is looking good in the election, but not to good. They are the centre-right party that was formed to put an end to the Liberals, and create a strong party that can win the election, they'll probably form the opposition, otherwise a small minority government, but chances are slim.

We always had the Conservative Party... what happened was a new party called the Reform Party formed in Western Canada and it split the Conservative vote.... until the Reform and Progressive Conservatives merged and brought the two sets of voters together again.
Reply #4 from JoeUser Forums Top
It looks like tloke was pretty close, the official results are:

Liberals: 135
Conservatives: 96
Bloc Quebecois: 54
NDP: 22
Green/Independent: 1

You may have another calling!