The Great Bush Economy is Falling Apart

Even his Wealthy Base may not be happy!





For some time I have pointed out that the economic growth that Bush has been claiming credit for is a mirage to the vast majority of Americans. Bush points to higher GDP, the stock market and healthy corporate profits. To the average American they see a DROP in Average weekly wage during the past two years and NO growth in the past five years. They now are faced with skyrocketing energy costs that are now showing up is sluggish sales at lower end stores. However the high end stores are doing a booming business because the wealthy are the only group that is not impacted by the higher energy prices.

Now the stock market is down over 600 points, and inflation is beginning to be a problem. There is an indication that the Fed will counter the inflation with even higher interest rates and the real estate market is cooling. Mortgage brokers have been lying off staff and the few bright lights that Bush has been pointing to are dimming. Projections for GDP growth for the balance of the year is much lower and consumer confidence has taken a nose dive.

All this with a Federal Budget Deficit in the $600 Billion per year range and the prospects for the future that is troubling at best. Airlines are in trouble, independent truckers are having real problems because of the higher fuel costs and the U S Auto makers continue to slide. The trade deficit is over $800 Billion with no prospect for a solution. Hanging over all the Bush policies is the disaster called Iraq.

Like so many issues with this administration, the consequences of the policies we have been following are coming to light. In time both the wealthy and not so wealthy Americans will understand what mistakes were made in the elections starting with 2000!
30,002 views 141 replies
Reply #1 Top
Another useless Bush bashing thread. Do you even have a life?
Reply #2 Top
WASHINGTON (AP) -- Emerging from a year-end rut, the economy dashed ahead in the opening quarter of this year at a 5.3 percent pace, the fastest in 2 1/2 years. The new snapshot showed gross domestic product was even stronger during the January-to-March period than the 4.8 percent annual rate first estimated a month ago, the Commerce Department reported Thursday.

Gross domestic product measures the value of all goods and services produced within the United States and is considered the best barometer of the country's economic fitness.

The upgraded reading on GDP, based on more complete information, mostly reflected stronger U.S. exports and better inventory building by businesses.


It's great col when yo claim the economy is "falling apart" when the dow drops. However everytime I post the record highs the Dow set, you ignore it. Hypocrit.
Reply #3 Top
Airlines are in trouble

AIRLINES ARE IN TROUBLE?! That's the best you can do?
Airlines have been "in trouble" for decades now. How many times has American, Delta, US Air, Northwest, Pan Am, and the like dove in and out of bankruptcy court like a swimming pool and begging, hat in hand, for federal bailouts? Remember Eastern Airlines, or TWA?

From the US Centennial of Flight Commission:
The deregulation of the American commercial aviation sector in 1978 had completely changed the face of civil aviation in the country.
The fate of three airlines, Continental, Eastern, and Pan Am, best exemplified the troubles that the major air services faced in the 1980s. By the early 1980s, Continental Airlines had, under the leadership of the colorful Robert F. Six, become a major presence in the American market. But while its dominating services across the Pacific remained profitable, its main operations in the western and southwestern United States were in danger after deregulation. When Six, one of the older generation of airline builders, retired in 1982, Continental was already in trouble. The threat came from one of the most controversial figures in American commercial aviation history—Frank Lorenzo.


Come on, airlines have been subject to market forces for decades now. They were much more imperiled in the 80's than they are today, if they are even at all.

Where do you get this tripe? Do you really believe this?
Reply #4 Top
U.S. consumer confidence falls in May
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The Conference Board reported Tuesday that U.S. consumer confidence fell in May because of rising gasoline prices.

The Consumer Confidence Index now stands at 103.2, down from 109.8 in April. The Present Situation Index decreased to 132.5 from 136.2. The Expectations Index fell to 83.7 from 92.3.

"Consumer confidence, which reached a four-year high in April, lost ground in May," says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center. "Apprehension about the short-term outlook for the economy, the labor market and consumers' earning potential has driven the Expectations Index down to levels not seen since the aftermath of the hurricanes last summer."

Consumers' outlook for the next six months, which improved moderately in April, turned pessimistic in May. Those expecting business conditions to worsen increased to 13.2 percent from 9.3 percent. Those expecting business conditions to improve decreased to 16.5 percent from 17.3 percent. The outlook for the labor market was also less optimistic.

The Consumer Confidence Survey is based on a representative sample of 5,000 U.S. households. The monthly survey is conducted for The Conference Board by TNS. TNS is the world's largest custom research company. The cutoff date for May's preliminary results was May 23.

INFLATION

Tugging oil lower was U.S. Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke's observation late on Monday that the U.S. central bank needed to remain vigilant on inflation risks even as the economy shifted to a slower pace of growth.

The comment fired speculation that U.S. interest rates have further to rise, stifling oil demand growth in world's biggest consumer by far.

"U.S. bond and stock markets fell after the Bernanke comment -- the main oil market drivers are now hedge funds and pension funds and their key battleground is equity and bond markets, so if they lose money there they like to take profits elsewhere such as on U.S. crude and metals," said Naohiro Niimura, vice president of derivatives at Mizuho Corporate Bank in Tokyo.

This is just a sample!!!!!
Reply #5 Top
This is just a sample!!!!!


And I have have "samples" of good things from the economy that you usually ignore. Hypocrit.
Reply #6 Top
"To the average American they see a DROP in Average weekly wage during the past two years and NO growth in the past five years."


The slight drop in weekly wages is a sign of more entry-level jobs creation. People like you, who were bitching about unemployment, now bitch about that since you can't bitch about unemployment.

As for the NO growth thing, that's simply a lie. The first quarter of 2006 showed almost 5% growth alone. The Col, in the same breath, claims that the Fed is threatening to raise interest rates, which is what they do to SLOW the growth of the economy. Considering this is what, the 16th hike in a row, I'm wondering why the Col is surprised.

I've been seeing articles like this one for years now. OMG!!! THE ECONOMY IS TANKING, and yet it isn't, and it hasn't, and no matter how these cretins keep trying to frighten people they can't seem to. The main thing that has harmed consumer confidence lately is oil.

The Col, has lashed himself to the mast and he's just given up caring if the crusade does any good. He's determined to go down with his ship, so let him. He'll implode when Bush is gone, anyway, and there are no more dragons to slay...
Reply #7 Top
U.S. consumer confidence fell in May because of rising gasoline prices.

U.S. Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke's observation late on Monday that the U.S. central bank needed to remain vigilant on inflation risks even as the economy shifted to a slower pace of growth.

This is just a sample!!!!!


A sample of consumer confidence. That has nothing whatsoever to do with the actual state of the economy. Or in your mind 50,000 lemmings can't be wrong?

And Bernanke's comments were based on a "slower pace of growth". That's still growth, dumbass.

OMG!!! THE ECONOMY IS TANKING

Yep, it must be. COL Gene thinks it is.
Reply #8 Top
Actually I found that average earnings were up in May:

"Meanwhile, average hourly earnings were up by 1 cent in May to $16.62. This followed a gain of 10 cents in April, 5 cents in March and 7 cents in February."


Unemployment is at a 5 year low:

"However, the US unemployment rate dropped to 4.6 per cent last month, the lowest since the summer of 2001, the US Department of Labor reported on Friday.

A year earlier, the US unemployment rate stood at 5.1 per cent."


As for growth:

"US gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the first quarter of 2006 was 5.3 per cent, its fastest rate in nearly two and a half years, the Commerce Department said last month."


As for ineterest rates:

"However, some analysts are now expecting the Fed to keep rates unchanged when they meet again on June 29."


...but then, like I said, they've been throwing the BREAKS on to the economy for 16 straight meetings, so I doubt anyone would be surprised either way. I think it is funny how the Col is getting this desperate.
Reply #9 Top
Wow col, we are less than 10 posts in and you are being nailed again. Time to start another thread and abandon this one llike the previous two.
Reply #10 Top
Wait a minute, for the whole time you have been blogging you have sworn that there is no great economy and all the great indicators we have seen over the last few years are a farce... Now you are saying the great economy is falling apart? Even if you flimpsy arguments here actually held water... if the economy was never great, how is it falling apart?
Reply #11 Top
Another great day on the stock market. Oil at $75 a Barrel with gas over $3.00 per gallon. In FIVE years the Average Weekly Wage has not gone UP. That is a great economy if you are not the average person. In other words if you are part of the Bush Base, The Haves and Have-Mores you are doing fine. For the other 95% screw you. That is the Bush plan. Consumer confidence does play a BIG part on what people plan to spend! The jobs being created in this great Bush economy are paying 21% less then the jobs that were list from 2001-2003 and have fewer benefits. That is why about 70% of Americans are NOT happy with the job George is doing with the economy!

Add the Trade Deficit, Federal Deficit, Increasing interest rates and the continued loss of manufacturing jobs and the picture is just great. Where do the people on this Blog Site Live? Not in the United States in 2006.
Reply #12 Top
If it never was, how is it falling apart? You still can't live up to your own rhetoric.

That or you're just admitting that you are the pathetic liar we all know you to be.
Reply #13 Top
There's really no point in dealing with this loon anymore. If anyone wants to believe him let them, they'd have to be as loony as him, or so ignorant of the facts that it won't matter anyway.

Enjoy wasting your time on a lame duck, Col. We'll be working on whipping Dem butt in 2008.
Reply #14 Top
For the other 95% screw you.


Yeah, col. Only 5% elected Bush.

I notice how ONCE AGAIN YOU IGNORED everything posted to you.
Reply #15 Top
If the election were held today, Bush would lose Big time!

All the bloggers on this site that support Bush act just like him-- When ever you can not refute what is said, you attack the person with some asinine statements. You have not disproved one thing I have said about this economy AND HOW POORLY THE VAST MAJORITY ARE DOING UNDER THE BUSH POLICIES!.
Reply #16 Top
If the election were held today, Bush couldn't run... it's called the U.S. Constitution buddy, you swore you'd kill or die for it... sad you haven't read it.
Reply #17 Top
When ever you can not refute what is said, you attack the person with some asinine statements.


Yeah, but this comment thread is packed with refutation, and the only asinine statements are coming from the guy being refuted.
Reply #18 Top
I am not the one comming up with the news about the economy. Take a LOOK:

NEW YORK, June 6 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence was steady in the latest week but remained near seven-month lows as high gasoline prices and a shaky job market took their toll.

ABC News and The Washington Post said their Consumer Comfort index was unchanged at -17 in the week ended June 4.

The survey's components suggested fewer Americans felt comfortable about their personal finances, but a slightly larger number also said it was a good time to make purchases.

Confidence measures are generally viewed as a barometer of consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of the U.S. economy.

While consumers do not always act in accordance with their statements to surveys, broad downward trends in sentiment do usually herald more turbulent economic periods.

Analysts generally expect the economy to slow this year as a tapped-out housing market peters out and persistently high energy costs eat into spending.

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Monday the U.S. economy was starting to shift to a slower pace of economic growth but the Fed needed to be vigilant to make sure inflation stays under control.

"It is reasonably clear that the U.S. economy is entering a period of transition," Bernanke said in remarks prepared for a group of bankers. "The anticipated moderation of economic growth seems now to be under way."

Bernanke expressed concern over rising core inflation, saying it had reached levels that "if sustained" would be at or above the upper end of the range he views as consistent with price stability.

"With the economy now evidently in a period of transition, monetary policy must be conducted with great care and with close attention to the evolution of the economic outlook as implied by incoming information," he said. "Given recent developments, the medium-term outlook for inflation will receive particular scrutiny."

US stocks slip amid interest rates fears

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June 7, 2006 - 8:04AM
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NEW YORK - US stocks slipped amid fears that inflation will lead to the US Federal Reserve hiking up higher rates even as the economy slows.

The Dow Jones industrial average was down 46.58 points to 11,002.14. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index lost 1.44 points to 1263.85. The Nasdaq Composite Index slipped 6.84 points to 2162.78.

Trade Deficit Widens, Import Costs Rise: U.S. Economy Preview

June 4 (Bloomberg) -- Rising oil prices widened the U.S. trade deficit and drove a gain in the cost of imported goods, economists said in advance of government reports this week.

The trade gap rose to $65 billion in April from $62 billion the previous month, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Import prices rose 0.7 percent in May, after a 2.1 percent gain the previous month, economists project a separate report the same day will show.

Surging fuel costs may be leading to a slowdown in consumer spending and hiring that is likely to cause the economy to lose momentum this quarter. Federal Reserve policy makers meeting at the end of the month face the task of determining whether slower growth or faster inflation poses a bigger threat to the economy.

``Higher rates and higher commodity costs have been a double whammy for the economy,'' said Brian Bethune, an economist at Global Insight Inc., a Lexington, Massachusetts, forecasting firm.`` We have seen very concrete evidence of a slowdown. The Fed is going to have to regroup.''

The Commerce Department is due to issue its April trade report on June 9. The deficit reached a record $68.6 billion in January.

The Labor Department report on May import prices, also scheduled to be released June 9, will give economists a jump on predicting what effect oil prices had on last month's trade account.

The cost of imported petroleum rose 11.5 percent in April from a month earlier, the biggest increase since March 2005, according to the Labor Department's import-price report issued last month. Compared with a year earlier, the price was up 32.5 percent.

Service Industry Growth

Rising gasoline prices drove consumer confidence down last month and restrained sales at some retailers. A slowing in consumer spending probably held back growth in service industries last month, a private survey due tomorrow is expected to show.

The Tempe, Arizona-based Institute for Supply Management's index of non-manufacturing businesses, which covers almost 90 percent of the economy, fell to 60 in May, the lowest since January, from 63 a month earlier, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed. Readings greater than 50 signal expansion.

Retailers, builders and real estate companies probably contributed most to the drop in the index, economists said.

``Fuel prices continue to be a top concern for our customers,'' Wal-Mart Stores Inc. Chief Financial Officer Tom Schoewe said last week.

Store Traffic

May sales at stores open at least a year rose 2.3 percent, at the low end of Wal-Mart's forecast range. Store traffic at the world's biggest retailer fell last month as shoppers made fewer trips and limited spending to items such as food, the Bentonville, Arkansas-based company said.

The U.S. economy, the world's largest, will probably grow at an annual pace of 2.5 percent to 2.75 percent this quarter, about half the previous quarter's 5.3 percent pace, according to a forecast by economists at Banc of America Securities LLC in New York.

In other reports this week:

Wholesalers boosted inventories by 0.5 percent in April after a 0.2 percent gain a month earlier, a Commerce Department report June 8 is likely to show, according to the survey of economists.

Consumer credit probably rose at a $3.5 billion annual rate in April compared with a $2.5 billion increase the previous month, the Fed is expected to report June 7. A jump in auto loans after sales improved that month contributed to the increase, economists said.

The number of first-time claims for unemployment insurance benefits probably fell to 330,000 in the week ended yesterday from 336,000 the previous week, the Labor Department is expected to report June 8.



Friday, June 2, 2006

Rising gas prices hurt U.S. auto makers, help Japan's

By DEE-ANN DURBIN
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

DETROIT -- Increasing gas prices took a toll on the U.S. auto industry last month, flattening sales and causing steep declines for some trucks and sport utility vehicles but giving a boost to Japanese automakers whose new subcompacts hit the market at the right time.

General Motors Corp. said sales were down 12 percent for the month, while Ford Motor Co. reported a 2 percent decline and DaimlerChrysler AG's Chrysler Group saw sales fall nearly 11 percent.
Reply #19 Top
If the election were held today, Bush would lose Big time!


Bush would win again col, because democrats have nothing to offer but more taxation, and more welfare state. You know, just like you.


All the bloggers on this site that support Bush act just like him-- When ever you can not refute what is said, you attack the person with some asinine statements. You have not disproved one thing I have said about this economy AND HOW POORLY THE VAST MAJORITY ARE DOING UNDER THE BUSH POLICIES!.


Now you are just whining. And you act just like a liberal. Whenever you are proved wrong and shown something that refutes your ridiculous accusations you either abandon the thread or start off about something else. If you think the majority of this country is "doing poorly" you must live in a cave. That's all we hear from you people for the past years. Oh, the economy is so bad. Everybody is living on welfare. What a joke you and your pathetic book are.


I am not the one comming up with the news about the economy. Take a LOOK:


You didn't TAKE A LOOK AT POST #8. You ignored it.
Reply #20 Top
What Bush is offering is creating REAL HARM to the majority of this country which is worse then anything the Democrats have suggested. I have not supported new welfare of any type. What I have said is we must PAY for what we are spending and yes that will mean the tax cuts to the wealthy MUST GO!

IslandDog

I guess you must not have read my book or you would not make such a statement about it and you show how uninformed you truly are about the issues facing our country!
Reply #21 Top
What Bush is offering is creating REAL HARM to the majority of this country which is worse then anything the Democrats have suggested. I have not supported new welfare of any type. What I have said is we must PAY for what we are spending and yes that will mean the tax cuts to the wealthy MUST GO!


There is no "harm" coming to the majority of this country. This is typical scare tactics from democrats like yourself who tell us the next depression is coming. All this is about is taxing successful Americans. Every single post you have made turns into this. You still will not answer the basic questions posted to you.

Are you a socialist?
What percentage should the "evil rich" be taxed on income?
Why haven't you responded to post #8?

I guess you must not have read my book or you would not make such a statement about it and you show how uninformed you truly are about the issues facing our country!


Col if your book is anything like your posts here....full of half-truths and misspellings, I would never read it. You have shown time and time again that nothing matters to you but blaming Bush. You have blamed every national and world problem on Bush without any logical thinking or facts to back it up. You completely ignore ANYTHING that refutes what you write. Any idiot can write a book now. It's nothing special to it. So stop acting like you are some authority because you get numbers from a government website and tell us that your .0002 decrease in something matters in the real world.

That is why nobody buys your book. How many have you sold col?
Reply #22 Top
See Island Dog, He believes the economy is falling apart because that is the only logical reason no one is buying his book. Because sales were down today from yesterday this is a direct correlation to what is happening in the rest of the US economy. This is supposed to be his retirement money and everything revolves around it.
Reply #23 Top
Why haven't you responded to post #8?

C'mon COL Gene, even if they're not numbered for you (the forums have numbered posts, the individual blog sites don't), you can still count to 8. So ignorance is no excuse.

1... 2... 3... 4... 5... 6... 7... 8! I knew you could!

Refute #8. Consider anything that anyone has said to you. Somehow everything anyone else says is wrong, huh? That's a convenient little world you live in. No wonder you've sold less than five books.

Wait, this is hilarious: surveys are wrong! And the pundits admit it! From Gene's own citation:
Confidence measures are generally viewed as a barometer of consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of the U.S. economy. While consumers do not always act in accordance with their statements to surveys...

So what they're saying is that surveys can turn out to be... >>gasp<< inaccurate!
Reply #24 Top
I saw # 8. MY comments about unemployment are that in 2000 it was 3.9% and that is not changed by #8. I have documented that the NEW jobs pay less then the jobs that were lost. That is not changed by #8. I have said that GDP is up but that does not translate into a better life for the average worker. The increase in wages in May does not change the fact that NET over the past two years Average Weekly Wage is still down and over the past 5 years it is flat. It does not change the impact of higher energy costs on MOST Americans. CNN today was talking to independent truckers that are getting killed (50% drop in their net income) because of higher energy costs. # 8 does not alter the problems the U S Auto makers or the Air lines are having. # 8 does not alter the over $800 Billion trade deficit or the $600 Billion dollar budget deficit. # 8 does not change THE MAJOR DROP IN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE OR THE 70% OF Americans do not APPROVE OF THE WAY BUSH IS HANDLING THE ECONOMY. # 8 DOES NOT CHANGE WHAT I POSTED ABOUT THE IMPACT OF INFLATION ON LOWER END RETAIL STORES.

How about addressing these issues!
Reply #25 Top
I saw # 8. MY comments about unemployment are that in 2000 it was 3.9% and that is not changed by #8.


Unemployment is still at record lows, and is still very good in this country. Only you would complain about the difference.


I have documented that the NEW jobs pay less then the jobs that were lost.

ote]
And I have shown that you were incorrect, just like John Kerry was.


THE MAJOR DROP IN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE OR THE 70% OF Americans do not APPROVE OF THE WAY BUSH IS HANDLING THE ECONOMY. # 8 DOES NOT CHANGE WHAT I POSTED ABOUT THE IMPACT OF INFLATION ON LOWER END RETAIL STORES.


You mean 70% of 1000 Americans polled by a biased news source that oversamples democrats. Why do I have to keep correcting you on this?

You are getting owned again col. Time to start another Bush bash thread.